IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. John's
Big East
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.8	#73
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.9	#19
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.9	#76

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#69

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.2%	1.3%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	4.1%	4.4%	1.2%
Top 6 Seed	9.2%	9.9%	3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.5%	29.2%	12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	25.2%	26.9%	11.0%
Average Seed	7.9	7.8	8.5

.500 or above	45.0%	47.8%	21.5%
.500 or above in Conference	35.2%	36.8%	21.6%
Conference Champion	2.7%	2.8%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	17.8%	16.5%	28.9%

First Four	3.5%	3.7%	1.9%
First Round	25.5%	27.2%	11.4%
Second Round	14.1%	15.0%	6.2%
Sweet Sixteen	5.5%	5.9%	2.3%
Elite Eight	2.3%	2.5%	1.1%
Final Four	0.9%	1.0%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 89.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	3 - 0	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	195	St. Peter's	W	80-67	89%
Nov 26, 2020	157	La Salle	W	83-72	85%
Nov 30, 2020	101	Boston College	W	80-77	61%
Dec 03, 2020	14	@ Texas Tech	L	70-80	18%
Dec 06, 2020	311	Sacred Heart	W	88-68	96%
Dec 08, 2020	201	Fordham	W	74-61	89%
Dec 11, 2020	34	@ Connecticut	L	75-82	28%
Dec 14, 2020	51	@ Butler	L	69-74	33%
Dec 17, 2020	12	Creighton	L	77-82	34%
Dec 20, 2020	88	Georgetown	W	83-78	66%
Mar 08, 2021	44	@ Seton Hall	L	76-82	31%
Mar 08, 2021	41	@ Providence	L	74-80	30%
Mar 08, 2021	45	@ Marquette	L	78-84	32%
Mar 08, 2021	58	@ Xavier	L	74-79	35%
Mar 08, 2021	79	DePaul	W	82-78	63%
Mar 08, 2021	34	Connecticut	L	78-79	49%
Mar 08, 2021	12	@ Creighton	L	74-85	20%
Mar 08, 2021	3	@ Villanova	L	69-82	14%
Mar 09, 2021	44	Seton Hall	W	80-79	51%
Mar 09, 2021	41	Providence	L	76-77	49%
Mar 09, 2021	51	Butler	W	72-71	54%
Mar 09, 2021	45	Marquette	W	82-81	52%
Mar 09, 2021	58	Xavier	W	77-76	55%
Mar 09, 2021	88	@ Georgetown	L	80-81	45%
Mar 09, 2021	79	@ DePaul	L	79-81	43%
Mar 09, 2021	3	Villanova	L	72-79	28%
Projected Record						13 - 13	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.2	1.4	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.7	2.1	2.0	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0					6.3	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	2.8	2.7	1.0	0.2	0.0							7.9	4th
5th									0.1	1.2	3.6	3.1	1.0	0.1									9.0	5th
6th								0.2	1.4	4.1	3.6	1.0	0.1	0.0									10.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.6	4.1	3.6	1.1	0.0	0.0										10.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	4.4	3.7	1.0	0.0												11.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	2.5	4.6	3.5	0.8	0.0													12.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.3	1.4	3.3	4.4	2.8	0.6	0.1														12.9	10th
11th	0.3	1.5	2.4	3.3	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0															12.0	11th

Total	0.3	1.5	2.8	4.7	6.6	8.6	9.8	10.2	10.2	10.0	9.6	7.7	6.3	4.4	3.1	2.1	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	99.6%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	83.5%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	60.1%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	31.3%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	10.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	85.7%	14.3%	1.0		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	43.8%	56.3%	1.2		0.1		0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1.6		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.7%		100.0%	26.6%	73.4%	2.5		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.0%		100.0%	20.7%	79.3%	3.4		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0												100.0%
15-5	2.1%		100.0%	18.6%	81.4%	4.3		0.0	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-6	3.1%		99.1%	12.3%	86.8%	5.7		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.0%
13-7	4.4%		97.8%	8.7%	89.1%	7.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.0					0.1		97.5%
12-8	6.3%		87.3%	6.7%	80.7%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0				0.8		86.4%
11-9	7.7%		67.4%	4.1%	63.3%	9.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0			2.5		66.0%
10-10	9.6%		39.7%	3.2%	36.6%	10.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.9	1.2	0.2	0.0			5.8		37.8%
9-11	10.0%		12.0%	1.4%	10.6%	11.6								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		8.8		10.7%
8-12	10.2%		1.6%	0.6%	1.0%	12.4									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.0		1.0%
7-13	10.2%		0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	13.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.2		0.1%
6-14	9.8%		0.2%	0.2%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	9.8
5-15	8.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
4-16	6.6%																							6.6
3-17	4.7%																							4.7
2-18	2.8%																							2.8
1-19	1.5%																							1.5
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		27.5%	3.1%	24.4%	7.9		0.5	0.7	1.4	1.5	2.3	2.8	2.8	3.4	3.1	2.6	3.0	2.7	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	72.6		25.2%